Journal ArticleDOI
The Role of Drought and Climate Change in the Syrian Uprising: Untangling the Triggers of the Revolution
TLDR
The authors examines the role of drought and climate change as triggers of the Syrian uprising that started in March 2011 and shows that the humanitarian crisis of the late 2000s largely predated the drought period.Abstract:
This article examines the role of drought and climate change as triggers of the Syrian uprising that started in March 2011. It frames the 2006–10 drought that struck north-eastern Syria in the context of rapid economic liberalization and long-standing resource mismanagement, and shows that the humanitarian crisis of the late 2000s largely predated the drought period. It argues that focusing on external factors like drought and climate change in the context of the Syrian uprising is counterproductive as it diverts attention from more fundamental political and economic motives behind the protests and shifts responsibility away from the Syrian government.read more
Citations
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Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought.
TL;DR: It is shown that the recent decrease in Syrian precipitation is a combination of natural variability and a long-term drying trend, and the unusual severity of the observed drought is here shown to be highly unlikely without this trend.
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Climate change and the Syrian civil war revisited
TL;DR: The authors found no clear and reliable evidence that anthropogenic climate change was a factor in Syria's pre-civil war drought; that this drought did not cause anywhere near the scale of migration that is often alleged; and that there exists no solid evidence that drought migration pressures in Syria contributed to civil war onset.
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Teleconnected food supply shocks
Christopher Bren d’Amour,Leonie Wenz,Leonie Wenz,Matthias Kalkuhl,Jan Christoph Steckel,Jan Christoph Steckel,Felix Creutzig +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigate which countries are most vulnerable to teleconnected supply-shocks, i.e., where diets strongly rely on the import of wheat, maize, or rice, and where a large share of the population is living in poverty.
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A meta-analysis of country-level studies on environmental change and migration
Roman Hoffmann,Roman Hoffmann,Anna Dimitrova,Anna Dimitrova,Raya Muttarak,Raya Muttarak,Jesus Crespo Cuaresma,Jonas Peisker +7 more
TL;DR: The authors employ a meta-analysis approach to synthesize the evidence from 30 country-level studies that estimate the effect of slow-and rapid-onset events on migration worldwide, finding that environmental hazards affect migration, although with contextual variation.
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Sectarianism and conflict in Syria
TL;DR: In this article, the authors argue that political identities in Syria, both national and sectarian, have developed in a complex interrelated manner in the modern era and how the recent violent mobilisation of sectarian identity is the result of long and short-term structural, economic, socio-cultural and political factors rather than unchanging ancient animosities.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
On the Increased Frequency of Mediterranean Drought
TL;DR: In this paper, a change in wintertime Mediterranean precipitation toward drier conditions has likely occurred over 1902-2010 whose magnitude cannot be reconciled with internal variability alone, and anthropogenic greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing are key attributable factors for increased drying, though the external signal explains only half of the drying magnitude.
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Syria: from ‘authoritarian upgrading’ to revolution?
TL;DR: The authors examines the causes and development of the Syrian uprising of 2011 and analyzes the social bases and strategies of regime and opposition, and the dynamics by which violence and foreign intervention have escalated, before concluding with comments on the likely prognosis.
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Managing the Waters of Baՙth Country: The Politics of Water Scarcity in Syria
TL;DR: This paper argued that Syria's water scarcity is a consequence of the ruling Ba'th party's continuous promotion of water-intensive agriculture, motivated in part by a desire for food self-sufficiency and growth through an expansion in irrigated agriculture, is linked to the rural roots of the Ba´th party and the influential Peasants Union.
Posted Content
Global and local economic impacts of climate change in Syria and options for adaptation
Clemens Breisinger,Tingju Zhu,Perrihan Al Riffai,Gerald C. Nelson,Richard D. Robertson,Jose Funes,Dorte Verner +6 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a modeling suite that links the downscaling of global climate models, crop modeling, global economic modeling, and subnational level computable equilibrium modeling.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Climate Wars Myth
TL;DR: The first decade of the 21st century was the hottest decade since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution as mentioned in this paper, and if present trends continue, its possible effects worry publics and...