N
Neil M. Ferguson
Researcher at Imperial College London
Publications - 584
Citations - 61549
Neil M. Ferguson is an academic researcher from Imperial College London. The author has contributed to research in topics: Population & Medicine. The author has an hindex of 96, co-authored 537 publications receiving 48936 citations. Previous affiliations of Neil M. Ferguson include Liverpool Hope University & Ulster University.
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Journal ArticleDOI
Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis.
Robert Verity,Lucy C Okell,Ilaria Dorigatti,Peter Winskill,Charles Whittaker,Natsuko Imai,Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg,Hayley A Thompson,Patrick G T Walker,Han Fu,Amy Dighe,Jamie T. Griffin,Marc Baguelin,Sangeeta N. Bhatia,A Boonyasiri,Anne Cori,Zulma M. Cucunubá,Richard G. FitzJohn,Katy A. M. Gaythorpe,W Green,Arran Hamlet,Wes Hinsley,Daniel J Laydon,Gemma Nedjati-Gilani,Steven Riley,Sabine L. van Elsland,Erik M. Volz,Haowei Wang,Y Wang,Xiaoyue Xi,Christl A. Donnelly,Christl A. Donnelly,Azra C. Ghani,Neil M. Ferguson +33 more
TL;DR: These early estimates give an indication of the fatality ratio across the spectrum of COVID-19 disease and show a strong age gradient in risk of death.
Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand
Neil M. Ferguson,Daniel J Laydon,G Nedjati Gilani,Natsuko Imai,Kylie E. C. Ainslie,Marc Baguelin,Sangeeta N. Bhatia,A Boonyasiri,Z Cucunuba Perez,Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg,Amy Dighe,Ilaria Dorigatti,Han Fu,Katy A. M. Gaythorpe,W Green,Arran Hamlet,Wes Hinsley,Lucy C Okell,S Van Elsland,H Thompson,Robert Verity,Erik M. Volz,Haowei Wang,Y Wang,Patrick G T Walker,Caroline E. Walters,Peter Winskill,Charles Whittaker,Christl A. Donnelly,Steven Riley,Azra C. Ghani +30 more
TL;DR: Neil M Ferguson, Daniel Laydon, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, Natsuko Imai, Kylie Ainslie, Sangeeta Bhatia, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Zulma Cucunubá, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Amy Dighe, Ilaria Dorigatti, Han Fu, Katy Gaythorpe, Will Green, Arran Hamlet, Wes Hinsley, Lucy C Okell.
Journal ArticleDOI
Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe.
Seth Flaxman,Swapnil Mishra,Axel Gandy,H. Juliette T. Unwin,Thomas A. Mellan,Helen Coupland,Charles Whittaker,Harrison Zhu,Tresnia Berah,Jeffrey W. Eaton,Melodie Monod,Azra C. Ghani,Christl A. Donnelly,Christl A. Donnelly,Steven Riley,Michaela A. C. Vollmer,Neil M. Ferguson,Lucy C Okell,Samir Bhatt +18 more
TL;DR: The results show that major non-pharmaceutical interventions and lockdown in particular have had a large effect on reducing transmission and continued intervention should be considered to keep transmission of SARS-CoV-2 under control.
Journal ArticleDOI
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic
Neil M. Ferguson,Derek A. T. Cummings,Christophe Fraser,James Cajka,Philip C. Cooley,Donald S. Burke +5 more
TL;DR: It is found that border restrictions and/or internal travel restrictions are unlikely to delay spread by more than 2–3 weeks unless more than 99% effective, and vaccine stockpiled in advance of a pandemic could significantly reduce attack rates even if of low efficacy.
Journal ArticleDOI
Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1) : Early Findings
Christophe Fraser,Christl A. Donnelly,Simon Cauchemez,William P. Hanage,Maria D. Van Kerkhove,T. Déirdre Hollingsworth,Jamie T. Griffin,Rebecca F. Baggaley,Helen E. Jenkins,Emily J. Lyons,Thibaut Jombart,Wes Hinsley,Nicholas C. Grassly,Francois Balloux,Azra C. Ghani,Neil M. Ferguson,Andrew Rambaut,Oliver G. Pybus,Hugo López-Gatell,Celia Alpuche-Aranda,Ietza Bojorquez Chapela,Ethel Palacios Zavala,Dulce Ma. Espejo Guevara,Francesco Checchi,Erika Garcia,Stéphane Hugonnet,Cathy Roth +26 more
TL;DR: Transmissibility is substantially higher than that of seasonal flu, and comparable with lower estimates of R0 obtained from previous influenza pandemics, by analyzing the outbreak in Mexico, early data on international spread, and viral genetic diversity, which makes an early assessment of transmissibility and severity.